Blog Posts

 

How Big Banks See the Next Decade: Comparing 2025 Capital Market Assumptions

What J.P. Morgan, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley are baking into their long-range forecasts
analysis
markets
Long-term capital market assumptions (CMAs) turn the sprawling narratives of investment outlooks into numbers that drive asset allocation models. They translate macro views…
Oct 27, 2025
 

Simulating Equity and Fixed-Income Returns in 2025

Economic-capital ready scenario generation for P&C insurers
analysis
insurance

State-of-the-art techniques, data governance practices, and Python tooling for multi-asset scenario simulation.

Oct 27, 2025

Insurance Stock Correlations and Factor Structure

TRV, CB, HIG, AIG, and the S&P 500 over the last three years
analysis
insurance
U.S. property and casualty insurers have spent the last few years balancing catastrophe exposure, higher reinsurance costs, and rising investment yields. This review looks…
Oct 24, 2025
 

2020 (Re)Insurer Stock Price Performance

insurance
stocks
In this post, we review the 2020 stock price returns for US property and casualty (re)insurers.
Jan 31, 2021

2019 Global Catastrophe Losses

insurance
Impact Forecasting: Weather, Climate & Catastrophe Insight - 2019 Annual Report
Jan 27, 2020
 

2019 (Re)Insurer Stock Price Performance

insurance
stocks
In this post, we review the 2019 stock price returns for US property and casualty (re)insurers.
Jan 25, 2020
 

Sales Ten Commandments from former Goldman co-chair

A set of rules written in the 1950s by former Goldman Sachs co-chair John Whitehead for the new “new business” / sales department (now Investment Banking Services).
Mar 21, 2019
 

Impact of Growth on Loss Ratio Volatility

insurance
risk
The goal of this post is to look at the impact of premium growth on loss ratio volatility. To do this, we will use historical loss ratios and premiums from Schedule P by…
Mar 9, 2019
 

2018 (Re)Insurer Stock Price Performance

insurance
stocks
In this post, we review the 2018 stock price returns for US property and casualty (re)insurers.
Feb 17, 2019

2018 Global Catastrophe Losses

insurance
Impact Forecasting: Weather, Climate & Catastrophe Insight - 2018 Annual Report
Jan 29, 2019

Bayesian Chain Ladder

Use Bayesian methods to replicate the Chain Ladder reserving method

Jan 12, 2019

Insurtech Financing - Q2 2018 Update

2013 to Q2 2018
insurtech
insurance

source: FT Partners
Oct 13, 2018

Insurtech Financing - Q1 2018 Update

2013 to Q1 2018
insurtech
insurance

source: FT Partners
Jul 5, 2018

The State of Artificial Intelligence

Notes from Andrew Ng talk
Below are my notes from Andrew Ng’s talk, “The State of Artificial Intelligence”. See the YouTube video.
Jun 30, 2018

Risk adjusted underwriting returns

Insurers can improve their capital allocation by applying lessons from successful CEOs in other industries.
insurance
In his book, The Outsiders: Eight Unconventional CEOs and Their Radically Rational Blueprint for Success, William Thorndike, Jr. profiles eight CEOs whose track record, as…
May 21, 2018
 

Reimagining History - Counterfactual Risk Analysis

A summary of the Lloyd’s and RMS report
Reimagining History - Counterfactual Risk Analysis
Mar 9, 2018
 

Democratizing Data Science

data science
In a recent survey of insurance company executives conducted by the Ward Group, 25% of respondents strongly disagreed or disagreed that they have the analytics and big data…
Mar 5, 2018
 

Aon’s 2018 Cybersecurity Predictions

A Shift to Managing Cyber as an Enterprise Risk
Key takeaways from Aon’s 2018 Cybersecurity Predictions report.
Feb 21, 2018

2017 Global Catastrophe Losses

Infographic from Impact Forecasting Report
Impact Forecasting: Weather, Climate & Catastrophe Insight - 2017 Annual Report
Feb 16, 2018
 

Do less to succeed in business

Most top performers in business have one thing in common: They accept fewer tasks and then obsess over getting them right.
business
How to Succeed in Business? Do Less by Morten T. Hansen
Jan 30, 2018

Allianz Risk Barometer 2018

Top Business Risks for 2018
2018 Allianz Risk Barometer
Jan 27, 2018
 

Book Summary - Dear Chairman

Boardroom Battles and the Rise of Shareholder Activism
book review
Dear Chairman: Boardroom Battles and the Rise of Shareholder Activism by Jeff Gramm
Jan 22, 2018
 

You are what you read

quotes
You will be the same person in five years as you are today except for the people you meet and the books you read.
Dec 12, 2017
 

Your smartphone is making you dumber

…and do you even care?
technology
In a recent Wall Street Journal article “How Smartphones Hijack Our Minds”, Nicholas Carr lays out a compelling case for the negative impact of smartphones on our cognitive…
Oct 27, 2017
 

Insurance Companies and The Third Wave

Partnerships, not disruption, with startups
insurance
insurtech
In a prior post, we reviewed Steve Case’s book, The Third Wave: An Entrepreneur’s Vision of the Future, in which he outlines what he calls the Third Wave of the internet.
Oct 23, 2017
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